The
Weekly Report for January 21st - January 25th, 2008
January 20, 2008- Market Summary
The January woes continued last week as economic concerns and less-than-stellar
earnings continued to fuel talk of recession.
Many jittery traders remain concerned about the state of the economy
and most are wondering whether the worst is behind us. The Dow
Jones Industrial Average traded 15% below its October high,
contributing to the concern that we are entering into a longer-term
bear market.
The broad market
decline last week has erased all gains made by the market in 2007.
This is technically significant because it illustrates that the
bears are in control. To illustrate the extent of the weakness,
one only needs to glance at the chart of the S&P - it recorded
its worst weekly performance in more than five years. As you can
see from the chart below, the next major level of support on the
Dow and other indexes is about 5% below current levels. A move below
the identified support levels would indicate a prolonged move lower,
but only time will tell whether these areas will be tested.
We continue
to believe that it would be extremely risky to bet on a bounce at
this point and we expect that the selling pressure will continue
as market participants try to determine the extent of the weakening
economy. It will also be interesting to see if President Bush's
$140 billion economic stimulus package will help give the economy
the jump-start it needs to shrug off the weakness.
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