The
Weekly Report for December 3rd - December 7th, 2007
December 2, 2007- Market Summary
In our last two reports, we've mentioned that several of the major
indexes have moved below the supports of their respective 200-day
moving averages. This move below the support level is generally
used by traders to suggest that the bears will remain in control
of the longer-term momentum.
Despite the bulls attempt to push the indexes higher, Friday's market
breadth is suggesting that the direction will likely remain
downward.
We've recently
noticed a large divergence between the number of issues creating
new highs and the number making new lows. Generally, traders don't
expect to see a large number of new highs and lows occur simultaneously
because it suggests that market participants are losing conviction
and that they are unsure of the future direction.
On Friday we
noted that 117 issues on the NYSE
Composite Index created fresh 52-week lows, which equaled 3.4%
of the traded issues (3,462). Also, there were 82 new highs, which
equates to 2.4% of the traded issues. Readings above 2.2% are the
first sign of a valid Hindenburg
omen, which is an indicator used to predict market corrections.
This relatively uncommon indicator suggests that the bulls have
a lot of work ahead of them if they'd like to prevent a continuation
of the downward momentum.
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